Acrisure Re Predicts Above Average Hurricane Activity in 2022

Acrisure Re has announced the publication of its 2022 Pre-Season Hurricane Outlook report which forecasts an above average hurricane season, albeit with less activity than the record 2020 and 2021 seasons.

Recent heightened hurricane activity is at least partly attributed to the current warm phase of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) which began in 1995. In spring 2020, for example, the AMO reached its highest values since 1950 which was followed in 2021 by the third most active year of hurricanes on record with a total of 21 named storms. This season however Acrisure Re Analytics currently forecasts a cooler Atlantic surface temperature than in 2021 through the key months of the 2022 hurricane season.

Acrisure Re's outlook report is qualified by the unpredictable nature of weather development. Consequently, the team examined the following key factors to create a qualitative overview of the likely conditions this summer:
- Forecast Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature (SST) are slightly lower than last year, which lends to a less active hurricane Season than 2021.
- The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is (vous en avez lu 29%, il reste à lire 71%, de cet article.)

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